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Sticky Inflation Challenges the Bond Markets

Mar 5, 2024

7:19 am

• Inflation still a headache for global markets and central bankers • Last week’s US PCE data points to pockets of a re-acceleration of inflation in the service sector • Since Q4’23 the global trend has been of a stickiness to inflation • Recent research reports question whether long-term US bond yields are structurally headed…

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It can’t just be about Tech

Feb 27, 2024

10:19 am

• The US tech sector shows powerful AI-driven growth • Fed minutes keep bonds on hold at higher yield levels • Global equities need better news from Europe and Asia to sustain the rally • China contributes a little more to positive equity trend • Asia ex-Japan will need the Chinese economy to show signs…

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A US rate rise? Possibly, but not Probably

Feb 20, 2024

6:06 am

• US inflation data worries increase • Economist sage Larry Summers urges us not to rule out a rate rise • US 10- year bond yield in value territory • UK equities get help from the better-than-expected retail sales, but only after a recession in Q4 • Nikkei within striking distance of its all-time 34-year…

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Investment Strategy

Feb 14, 2024

1:44 pm

• The global economic outlook remains cloudy, despite the Fed dropping ‘recession’ from its December projections. • Magnificent-7 continue to dominate the S&P 500, both in terms of price performance and earnings expectations. • India’s interim budget maintained its focus on development and inclusion on expected lines. • The midcap rally is largely attributed to…

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