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A US rate rise? Possibly, but not Probably

Feb 20, 2024

• US inflation data worries increase • Economist sage Larry Summers urges us not to rule out a rate rise • US 10- year bond yield in value territory • UK equities get help from the better-than-expected retail sales, but only after a recession in Q4 • Nikkei within striking distance of its all-time 34-year…

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Investment Strategy

Feb 14, 2024

• The global economic outlook remains cloudy, despite the Fed dropping ‘recession’ from its December projections. • Magnificent-7 continue to dominate the S&P 500, both in terms of price performance and earnings expectations. • India’s interim budget maintained its focus on development and inclusion on expected lines. • The midcap rally is largely attributed to…

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Markets Enjoy the Growth and Hope for Lower Rates

Feb 13, 2024

• Combination of good growth and market hopes for rate cuts underpins markets • US inflation data this week sees headline inflation likely drop back but there are still pockets of inflation strength • US CRE problems not helped by Chinese dumping of US assets – however the US problems don’t translate into a big…

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Trying to Remain Sober at a Party

Feb 6, 2024

• US economic data continues strong, under pinning equity market rally • US economic data flows only supports Fed reticence to the cut rates • Some signs that the best of the global disinflation news may be behind us • As we fret about China, Korean and Taiwanese equity market look to be on a…

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