market-commentary

MARKET COMMENTARY

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Rate Cuts Won’t Reopen the Straits

Apr 29, 2026

12:00 am

Markets enter the week facing the same unresolved equation that has characterised the past two months: a Gulf conflict barely eight weeks old, a Federal Reserve in leadership transition, and an equity market eyeing the certainty that the macro backdrop does not yet support. The temptation to discount the problems — to assume the ceasefire…

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Portfolio Commentary

Apr 27, 2026

6:31 am

Indian Equities: A pause in Leadership, not the end of it • India remains a structural outperformer vs broader EM despite near-term divergence • Corrections of 10–15% in a year have historically led to strong forward returns • Current phase is a reset in valuations and time, not a break in the cycle Indian equities…

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Markets Are Trading Hope. The Real Economy Is Still Trading Disruption.

Apr 21, 2026

7:32 am

I. THE SCALE OF THE DISRUPTION: GETTING THE NUMBERS RIGHT Before anything else about market psychology or diplomatic signalling warrants attention, the physical facts of the ongoing disruption deserve to stand on their own. They are extraordinary, and any analysis that blurs or minimises them is starting from a false position. Tanker transits through the…

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Investment Strategy

Apr 15, 2026

10:18 am

• The Middle East conflict remains a near-term market trigger. • Higher oil prices may weigh on Indian corporate earnings in the coming quarters if geopolitical tensions re-escalate. • Equity valuations have moderated, time to reduce underweight. • Bond yields could remain volatile; shorter-duration instruments are preferred. The Epic Flip Flop Talks over the weekend…

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