May 19, 2026 7:26 am
The stabilisation we currently see in the market is built on the belief that sense will prevail in the Strait of Hormuz. In fact, a Brent oil price near $110 is consistent with managed stress and has kept us away from expecting the worst. It is, however, not consistent with a standoff where both sides…
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May 12, 2026 11:38 am
Oil, AI, and the inflation regime equities have not yet discounted It is not too difficult to conclude what is driving market performance even as conditions remain unfavourable. A 60% surge in technology earnings in Q1 2026 – the rest of the S&P 500 grew at 17% – has helped the market hold its nerve….
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May 11, 2026 12:51 pm
• Global markets have rebounded sharply on hopes of easing Middle East tensions. • AI-led capex continues to support global growth even as inflation pressures re-emerge. • India’s economic activity remains resilient despite higher energy prices. • Q4FY26 earnings have broadly met expectations, with estimates remaining stable. • We remain constructive on equities and are…
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May 6, 2026 12:56 pm
Summary in plain terms: Stock markets are near all-time highs, but the economic backdrop is quietly getting worse — growth is slowing while inflation is about to become significantly more persistent. We think investors should tactically own technology and energy stocks, avoid longer dated government bonds, and prepare for a world where inflation will prove…
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