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The Best May Be Behind Us

Jan 7, 2026

9:59 am

The Best May Be Behind Us • 2026 begins with momentum, not new policy support. Early gains are possible, but returns must be earned through growth and earnings. • The easy part of the cycle is over. Markets will prioritise growth first, inflation discipline second, and rate cuts only at the margin. • Capital is…

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Venezuelan Oil: Immense Geology, Heavy Reality

Jan 5, 2026

2:18 pm

Venezuelan Oil: Immense Geology, Heavy Reality   Executive summary Events over the past few days have materially altered how Venezuela’s oil endowment is being discussed in the context of future global supply. From a pariah state long constrained by sanctions and naval pressure, the apparent US control of key security and energy decisions has brought…

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The Year Global Policy Making Lost Its Anchor

Jan 5, 2026

12:32 pm

A very happpy New Year to all our clients and frirnds of The Global CIO Office. Whishing you all a prosperous New Year Ahead Table 1: Assset Class returns to end Deceber 2025 (USD) Source: Bloomberg Executive Summary 2025 will be remembered as the year in which global markets stopped taking US policy announcements at…

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Reflections Beyond the Numbers

Dec 22, 2025

10:25 am

Markets will close the year having delivered respectable returns. That matters. Financial growth supports savings, and investment, and it provides a degree of stability. But growth is broader than a GDP definition or asset market performance alone. We live in a world of human beings, not just monetary wealth, and progress must also be judged…

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