Dec 16, 2025 1:44 pm
• A three way split at the Fed does not bode well for next year • Dot plot looks like a Christmas tree • Lack of building consensus and politicisation does not help • The middle path suggest more rate cuts next year – for political reason that may be right…. but it doesnt mean…
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Dec 12, 2025 9:51 am
• A benign inflation environment provided the RBI room to cut rates in the December policy meeting. • With supportive policy, India’s economic activity and corporate earnings should improve in the coming quarters. • We remain neutral on Indian equities as earnings have stabilised and valuations have partly moderated. • The U.S. job market is…
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Dec 9, 2025 12:00 am
The sharp rise in US and Japanese bond yields last week is another sign of tougher times ahead for bond markets. The week saw US 10-year treasury yields surge 12 basis points (bps) to 4.14%, the highest since April. In Japan, the two-year yields rose above 1.0%, a level not seen since 2008. Our short…
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Dec 3, 2025 9:37 am
November felt like a pause for breath rather than a turning point. Global equities eked out a 0.3% gain, leaving year-to-date returns at a robust 20.1%, but the intra-month story was a nervous drawdown as investors flirted with the idea that the Fed might skip a December cut before swinging back to pricing one move….
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