Jan 13, 2026 7:16 am
• Markets stay firm despite political volatility and mixed macro signals • Supreme Court likely to curb Trump’s tariff powers, easing trade tail risks • Jerome Powell pushes back • US tax cuts and earnings season offer near-term support, led by tech • Inflation data next week may challenge the disinflation narrative • East outperforms:…
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Jan 7, 2026 9:59 am
The Best May Be Behind Us • 2026 begins with momentum, not new policy support. Early gains are possible, but returns must be earned through growth and earnings. • The easy part of the cycle is over. Markets will prioritise growth first, inflation discipline second, and rate cuts only at the margin. • Capital is…
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Jan 5, 2026 2:18 pm
Venezuelan Oil: Immense Geology, Heavy Reality Executive summary Events over the past few days have materially altered how Venezuela’s oil endowment is being discussed in the context of future global supply. From a pariah state long constrained by sanctions and naval pressure, the apparent US control of key security and energy decisions has brought…
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Jan 5, 2026 12:32 pm
A very happpy New Year to all our clients and frirnds of The Global CIO Office. Whishing you all a prosperous New Year Ahead Table 1: Assset Class returns to end Deceber 2025 (USD) Source: Bloomberg Executive Summary 2025 will be remembered as the year in which global markets stopped taking US policy announcements at…
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