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MARKET COMMENTARY

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Same Advice, Better Stories

Oct 7, 2025

6:43 am

• As we enter a new quarter we see little reason to deviate form our core portfolio advice. • We expect China’s upcoming fourth plenum to deliver further structral reasons for optimism on Chinese equity market. • A female Prime Minister in Japan provides further evidence of Japan’s transformation. • As long as fiscal and…

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Macro and Markets Review for Q3 2025

Oct 6, 2025

9:21 am

August Tariffs – Another Brick in the Wall The defining feature of the quarter was the 1 August tariff reset. A 10% universal baseline tariff was imposed on most imports, with higher rates for Japan, Korea, Canada, Mexico, and the EU. China was granted a temporary truce at 10% until November while longer-term terms are…

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Corporates Lead the Way

Sep 30, 2025

12:19 am

• Corporate CAPEX growth of 11% this year as spurred global growth to surprising heights • Q2 US GDP surprises to the upside (3.8%) and 3% likely in Q3 • Tech spending a major driver; the sector should still perform well • High Grade bond spreads narrow still further – could they stray to negative?…

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Central Banks Front and Centre

Sep 23, 2025

7:34 am

• Further Fed cuts rates as expected, but the backdrop remains mired in politics and evolving economic landscape • The US economic data is particularly difficult to interpret, and patience is needed – but try telling the President • Risk of Fed policy error is high • Bank of England appears in no rush to…

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