market-commentary

MARKET COMMENTARY

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Look out for What they say, not What they Do

Jul 25, 2023

6:17 am

• The Fed should raise rates by 25bps and signal that they are not necessarily done • US economic growth appears to be re-accelerating • The ECB to follow the Fed and leave open the possibility of a further rate rise in September • The Bank of Japan is still in two minds about tightening…

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Portfolio Commentary

Jul 21, 2023

5:53 am

The Unmissable in Stock Investing • There’s a systematic positive trend in the Indian economy and markets. • India’s pre-liberalisation corporate governance was in a state of disarray. • Liberalisation heralded a new epoch in Indian economics and corporate governance. • The Satyam scandal stirred the nation and necessitated a complete revamp of corporate governance…

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Taking the Edge off the Risks

Jul 18, 2023

5:35 am

• Weaker-than-expected US inflation data reduces the risk of further outsized Fed rate increases • The dollar is likely to be under downward pressure as both the Bank of Japan and the ECB remain under pressure to tighten rates • The reduced risk of a higher dollar and dollar interest rates is a boon for…

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It’s Getting Hot Out There

Jul 11, 2023

5:14 am

• World temperatures recently have been the highest on record • US labour market strength coupled with likely still-high core inflation has the bond market worried • US equity market looks complacent, but may remain so through a helpful reporting season • Japan’s economy is running hot with strong CAPEX and wage growth Last week…

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