Nov 16, 2023 7:57 am
• Fed flip flops on guidance adding to the volatility of markets • US household inflation expectations on the rise • Equities recover a good measure of their recent losses but look vulnerable to cuts in earnings • US inflation report this week may add to the volatility • Latam serves up good news on…
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Nov 7, 2023 10:22 am
• The market’s positive reaction to last week’s news flow was exaggerated by the closing of an enormous, short treasury position in the market • Given elevated volatility in asset markets now is not the time to take outsize risk positions • We see signs of weakening US growth, however the read through is not…
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Nov 3, 2023 10:21 am
Through October, dat reports for the global economy showed stronger-than-expected growth in the United States and some stabilisation in China. Third quarter US GDP growth came in well ahead of expectations at 4.9%. Still, strong consumer spending growth was a positive feature (Chart 1). The sharp increase in inventories means that the headline growth somewhat…
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Nov 1, 2023 7:20 am
• US Q3 GDP growth was big surprise to the market keeping up the pressure for higher rates • FOMC is unlikely to raise rates this week but will likely express their intense vigilance • In the equity market higher long term yields will pressure growth sectors such as Tech • The tech sector has…
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