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Investor Exuberance at Odds with Valuations and Inflation Data

Feb 17, 2025

8:59 am

• US retail investors are at their exuberant best • Last week’s US inflation data was concerning but markets shrugged off the bearish thoughts • Fed minutes due out this week key to near term sentiment • In Australia, RBA to cut rates for first time in four years • Japanese economic data for GDP…

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This is Not Going Well

Feb 11, 2025

9:41 am

• Market Uncertainty Rises Amid US Policy Shifts – Disruptive policymaking in the US continues to keep investors on edge. • Consumer Confidence Wanes Amid Inflation Concerns – US consumers fret about near-term inflation worries persist. • Tech Stocks Face Pressure – High valuations and mixed quarterly earnings outlooks weigh on US technology stocks. •…

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Investment Strategy

Feb 6, 2025

9:38 am

• Trade war begins, likely leading to global market volatility. • India’s Union Budget shifts its focus to consumption, unlike previous budgets that emphasized capex. • Personal income tax cut will leave more disposable income in the hands of the middle class, likely supporting the recovery of urban demand. • The budget is neutral for…

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It Was Sadly Inevitable

Feb 5, 2025

10:56 am

• Trump’s Tariff Strategy It was a foregone conclusion that President Trump would set off a tariff war to address drug and immigration challenges. • Economic Risks Growth faces downside risks, while inflation pressures continue to build. • Fed’s Stance on Rate Cuts: Market expectations for rate cuts are likely to moderate still further, especially…

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