Aug 22, 2023 6:42 am
• A reaccelerating global growth has economists having to consider much higher long-term interest rates • Meanwhile, economists have revised up third-quarter growth forecasts on strong end-consumer demand • Historical precedents suggest a 5% US 10-year government bond yield is possible • Japan delivers a huge upward surprise on GDP growth • Prospects of higher…
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Aug 16, 2023 7:26 am
• US inflation better, but not comfortably reverting to the Fed target • Market appears too optimistic in expecting Fed rate cuts early next year • Remember US growth forecasts are rising and the labour market remains tight • China’s economic challenges deepen with more trouble in the real estate sector • Italy makes a…
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Aug 11, 2023 6:39 am
• Global equity momentum continued in July amid supportive US data. • However, several factors could impact the anticipated “soft-landing” scenario. • Global slowdown may impact India’s services exports growth, but currently, India is showing resilience. • Indian Q1 FY2024 earnings so far have slightly exceeded expectations. • Nevertheless, the recent equity rally has further…
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Aug 8, 2023 5:35 am
• US economy and markets struggling with uncertainty • Brazil, meanwhile, shows resilience as interest rates are falling and the economy is in good shape • Emerging market debt has been cheaper but still offers reasonable value • US inflation report this week will likely show still sticky core inflation • Oil prices continue to…
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