Jun 7, 2023 11:35 am
• Debt markets have finally aligned themselves with the Fed’s stance of higher-for-longer rates. • Mega-cap stocks in the US have led the rally but look vulnerable again. • We are neutral on equities, with a slight positive bias, as still-not-cheap valuations offset strong economic and earnings growth. • We remain overweight on Gold as…
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Jun 6, 2023 6:00 am
• A strong US labour market raises hopes of a soft landing • However, while the market disagrees, we expect the Fed to react by raising rates still further – maybe as early as this month • If a Fed rate increase were to not materialise in June, economically sensitive equity sectors could rally further…
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May 30, 2023 6:42 am
• US and UK inflation surprises to the upside • Market now prices a high risk of a further 25ps Fed rate increase at June meeting • US 10-year government bond yield getting closer to offering real value • Bank of England lacking credibility in its inflation fight The market’s wishful thinking is not coming…
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May 23, 2023 5:54 am
• The current rally in Japanese equity market looks well supported by evolving positives • Ongoing corporate restructuring should facilitate a further material rise in the equity market • Relative to history a further 10% rally in the Nikkei 225 is not ruled out • Chinese equities, on the other hand, have been beaten up…
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