Harsh Reality Dawns

Mar 10, 2022

12:49 am

• Economists start to cut global growth forecasts but are still very much in the dark to downside risks • Oil continues to send jitters. While $150 looked a remote possibility even a few weeks earlier, rising spot prices make $200 a not-so-distant reality • As the uncertainty prevails, financial markets are struggling to find…

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Escalation breeds Defensiveness

Mar 2, 2022

12:15 am

• With NATO’s response to the Ukraine crisis becoming firmer and aggressive, we could be in for a long-drawn-out conflict. • Last week’s market relief rally is proving to be temporary. • If the crisis lingers, oil flirting with $150 isn’t ruled out, further complicating the already-high inflation situation. • At this juncture, investors could…

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I’ve got Ukraine on my Mind

Feb 24, 2022

12:26 am

• The geopolitical risks – and not a new macroeconomic regime – are the markets’ latest worry. • The stakes are high as an attack on Ukraine by Russian forces appears imminent. • Europe politically may never look the same, raising uncertainty in the region. • With inflation continuing to be a vexing problem, markets…

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Markets gripped by geopolitical and inflation risks

Feb 17, 2022

8:59 am

• Inflation keeps surprising on the upside • Ukraine conflict adds upward pressure via the energy channel • Inflation markets may not be fully discounting the risks The persistence of inflation against expectations and the ongoing surprises to the upside have overwhelmed the markets somewhat. Inflation has already been high for some time now, but…

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