market-commentary

MARKET COMMENTARY

Scroll Down

An Inverted World?

Apr 5, 2022

8:58 am

• The inversion of the yield curve has fuelled talks of an impending recession. • Depends on your definition of yield curve, 2y-10y inverted, but 3mth-10Y not so. • The minutes of the Fed’s last meeting likely to set out pace of quantitative tightening. • Food inflation-some worrying trends. • Political challenges in Sri Lanka…

Read More

A Story of Extremes

Mar 29, 2022

11:09 am

• With inflation looming in the backdrop, the consensus among Fed governors for a faster rate hike is slowly gaining momentum • The Fed is clearly on a sticky wicket and the bond market has noticed its predicament, pushing up yields on two- and 10-year bonds to highs seen during periods of distress • Oil…

Read More

Heightened Risks Undermine “Buy the Dip”

Mar 23, 2022

12:01 am

• Investor’s Buy-the-dip mentality at risk from the structural shifts in the world. • More inflation—key central banks keen to push on with monetary tightening. • Measures of financial market risk hit recent highs. • China surprises on relaxing the reform agenda, but fresh lockdowns cause some growth angst. It would be naïve to think…

Read More

Evolving Trouble

Mar 17, 2022

12:23 am

• War in Ukraine continues to weigh on asset markets • Global growth now expected to falter, and inflation is a monumental issue • Unlike during COVID, governments and policymakers have far fewer levers to pull • The sell-off of high yield and emerging market debt has further to go • We share thoughts on…

Read More
Top