market-commentary

MARKET COMMENTARY

Scroll Down

Escalation breeds Defensiveness

Mar 2, 2022

12:15 am

• With NATO’s response to the Ukraine crisis becoming firmer and aggressive, we could be in for a long-drawn-out conflict. • Last week’s market relief rally is proving to be temporary. • If the crisis lingers, oil flirting with $150 isn’t ruled out, further complicating the already-high inflation situation. • At this juncture, investors could…

Read More

I’ve got Ukraine on my Mind

Feb 24, 2022

12:26 am

• The geopolitical risks – and not a new macroeconomic regime – are the markets’ latest worry. • The stakes are high as an attack on Ukraine by Russian forces appears imminent. • Europe politically may never look the same, raising uncertainty in the region. • With inflation continuing to be a vexing problem, markets…

Read More

Markets gripped by geopolitical and inflation risks

Feb 17, 2022

8:59 am

• Inflation keeps surprising on the upside • Ukraine conflict adds upward pressure via the energy channel • Inflation markets may not be fully discounting the risks The persistence of inflation against expectations and the ongoing surprises to the upside have overwhelmed the markets somewhat. Inflation has already been high for some time now, but…

Read More

Has the Penny Dropped?

Feb 9, 2022

7:34 am

• Watch out for US inflation data this coming week it could be ugly. • US labour market data was strong but full of unprecedented revisions. • The 5.7% annualised increase in US hourly wages adds to the inflation risks. • US 10-year yields look set to push through 2.0% • US small caps look…

Read More
Top