More of the Same

Aug 4, 2020

5:32 am

A cursory look at the headlines most of the past month would conclude that the theme was ‘some more of the same’ – rise in covid cases, disconnect between equity markets and economies, printing of currencies, expectations from Fed, US-China rivalry and uncertainty around the roadmap of the near future. Global Macro The United States…

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Policymakers still needed

Aug 3, 2020

2:34 pm

• Policymakers are likely to remain heavily engaged in support of their economies • Stuttering global growth encourages additional support • US Congress will have to provide, with the Fed as a backstop • Strong markets in July led by precious metals • We believe that both equities and credit remain biased higher • Hold…

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Is it Really that Good, or that Bad?

Jul 27, 2020

6:22 am

• A call on the market outlook is more complex than just buy or sell • The rolling over of good economic data was inevitable, it doesn’t mean bad news • Too much focus on the US equity market, other assets are still down a long way • The EU delivers a positive surprise –…

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Emerging Markets in Search of a Fresh Impetus

Jul 20, 2020

8:04 am

• EM equities and bonds have stalled in recent days • Recovery prospects for some EMs have been dimmed by poor virus response • Sharp trade reversals have been in evidence, but a slow recovery is now underway • Debt accumulation is inevitable; further creditor support may be necessary • Europe is still trying to…

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