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Rates Unchanged, No Extension of Moratorium

Aug 7, 2020

4:17 am

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting today, as expected, kept rates unchanged while maintaining an accommodative stance. The MPC highlighted that space for monetary easing exists, as inflation could decline in H2 FY21, but wants to use it judiciously and wants to remain watchful of incoming data. The…

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More of the Same

Aug 4, 2020

5:32 am

A cursory look at the headlines most of the past month would conclude that the theme was ‘some more of the same’ – rise in covid cases, disconnect between equity markets and economies, printing of currencies, expectations from Fed, US-China rivalry and uncertainty around the roadmap of the near future. Global Macro The United States…

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Policymakers still needed

Aug 3, 2020

2:34 pm

• Policymakers are likely to remain heavily engaged in support of their economies • Stuttering global growth encourages additional support • US Congress will have to provide, with the Fed as a backstop • Strong markets in July led by precious metals • We believe that both equities and credit remain biased higher • Hold…

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Is it Really that Good, or that Bad?

Jul 27, 2020

6:22 am

• A call on the market outlook is more complex than just buy or sell • The rolling over of good economic data was inevitable, it doesn’t mean bad news • Too much focus on the US equity market, other assets are still down a long way • The EU delivers a positive surprise –…

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