Apr 6, 2022 10:47 am
The shock of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is wearing off from people’s minds and growth concerns are beginning to surface. Global GDP growth forecasts are expected to be revised downwards – Fitch recently cut its world GDP growth forecast for 2022 by 0.7pp to 3.5%, with the eurozone cut by 1.5pp to 3.0%. Even as the…
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Apr 5, 2022 8:58 am
• The inversion of the yield curve has fuelled talks of an impending recession. • Depends on your definition of yield curve, 2y-10y inverted, but 3mth-10Y not so. • The minutes of the Fed’s last meeting likely to set out pace of quantitative tightening. • Food inflation-some worrying trends. • Political challenges in Sri Lanka…
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Mar 29, 2022 11:09 am
• With inflation looming in the backdrop, the consensus among Fed governors for a faster rate hike is slowly gaining momentum • The Fed is clearly on a sticky wicket and the bond market has noticed its predicament, pushing up yields on two- and 10-year bonds to highs seen during periods of distress • Oil…
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Mar 23, 2022 12:01 am
• Investor’s Buy-the-dip mentality at risk from the structural shifts in the world. • More inflation—key central banks keen to push on with monetary tightening. • Measures of financial market risk hit recent highs. • China surprises on relaxing the reform agenda, but fresh lockdowns cause some growth angst. It would be naïve to think…
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