Mar 30, 2026 10:16 am
Markets still looked too relaxed….. at least until this morning Friday’s sell-off in US equities may prove to be the first small crack in what has otherwise been a remarkably composed response to a deteriorating global backdrop. Riding on last year’s strong rally, equities remain close to highs. Bond yields have advanced, but not yet…
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Mar 24, 2026 9:07 am
The Middle East crisis presents an opportunity to stress-test portfolios, not to redesign them. Markets have already priced in the first phase of the shock, but there is still insufficient clarity on duration and escalation to support large shifts in asset allocation. The market reaction to the current crisis remains consistent with an energy shock…
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Mar 17, 2026 12:00 am
• An increasing recognition that there is duration to this crisis • Spike in inflation limits materially changes the scope for easier monetary policy • Think rate increases • Stagflation risks • Markets may tread water waiting for developments Markets changed their mind last week and the change of mind was not about war risk,…
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Mar 13, 2026 12:14 pm
• The Middle East conflict is a key near-term driver for the markets, particularly oil prices and global inflation expectations. • Indian economy is better placed than past oil shocks, but prolonged higher oil prices would hurt the economy and corporate earnings. • With improving earnings and resilient domestic flows, our longer-term view on Indian…
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