Apr 15, 2026 10:18 am
• The Middle East conflict remains a near-term market trigger. • Higher oil prices may weigh on Indian corporate earnings in the coming quarters if geopolitical tensions re-escalate. • Equity valuations have moderated, time to reduce underweight. • Bond yields could remain volatile; shorter-duration instruments are preferred. The Epic Flip Flop Talks over the weekend…
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Apr 13, 2026 9:45 am
Summary The March 2026 US CPI confirmed what we have been anticipating: the inflation shock is real, it is supply-driven, and it has barely started. At 3.3% year-on-year, the March print represents the visible first layer of a multi-round repricing that will move through freight, food, and services over the coming quarters. Unlike demand-driven inflation,…
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Apr 7, 2026 11:23 am
Longer Crisis, Larger Inflation Pulse The market still seems to think this is an oil spike with an exit ramp. We take a different view. We believe investors are underestimating the duration of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and, therefore, its long-term inflationary impact. The initial signs of the conflict are already visible…
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Apr 6, 2026 12:47 pm
GCIO Quarterly – Q1 2026 – Geopolitics Repriced The first quarter of 2026 will be remembered for the return of geopolitical shock as the dominant market driver. The global economy entered the year on reasonably firm footing, but not on especially sturdy foundations. Inflation had been easing only slowly in several major economies, central banks…
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