No Normal Recovery

Jun 29, 2026

11:56 am

• An unconventional US economy revival led by CAPEX • Stronger consumer spending led by higher wage growth is needed, but it may worry the Fed • Market rally broadens – the old economy stirs • :contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0} sees pushback from the bond market US economic data has staged a striking recovery, signalling the economy continues…

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What Else is Going On?

Jun 22, 2026

10:22 am

• The Great Equity Reversal – Equity comes out of Retirment • The Warsh Fed – Short and sweet • The Musk Premium – SpaceX outpaces Tesla • The Dysfunctional America Risk – Where will we be by December? There are weeks when the responsible thing to do is to sit down quietly, pour a…

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After-the-War Trade

Jun 15, 2026

12:03 pm

Investment conclusion: At the time of writing, our central assumption is that a US-Iran peace deal is more likely than not. Markets’ first reaction to the development should be a reversal of the crisis trade: some profit-taking in energy, materials, and technology, accompanied by renewed interest in consumer discretionary, real estate, Europe, India, and selected…

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Investment Strategy

Jun 10, 2026

8:54 am

• A Middle East deal appears within reach but remains uncertain. • Global equity momentum increasingly depends on earnings growth, led by AI infrastructure spending. • India’s macroeconomic resilience continues, though higher energy costs have yet to be fully passed through to consumer prices. • Q4FY26 earnings were broadly strong, with mid- and small-caps outperforming…

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