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Macro and Markets Review for January 2026

Feb 3, 2026

4:55 am

After the strong gains in markets in 2025, it was almost wishful thinking to believe that markets could replicate such returns in 2026. However it is worth observing that from a macroeconomic perspective 2026 has stated well. As chart 1 shows the economic growth data has largely beaten expectations leading to upgrades to forecasts. Global…

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Life Beyond Davos

Jan 28, 2026

12:00 am

• Beyond the Davos rhetoric, markets are moving towards Canada PM Carney’s vision of a polycentric world shaped by changed capital flows and state balance-sheet credibility. • Precious metals (Gold +9%) , LatAm equities (+5%), and non-USD currencies are signalling regime change, not cyclical noise. • Portfolios should reduce US concentration and increase exposure to…

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Financial Fragility Beneath the AI Boom- AI’s Capital Problem

Jan 27, 2026

7:12 am

Debate around artificial intelligence has become overly focused on existential or ethical risk, while a more immediate and historically familiar danger receives less attention: financial fragility created by private-market excess. The current capital-raising efforts of OpenAI, including a high-profile funding tour through the Middle East, provide a timely real-world context in which to examine this…

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President Trump in Perspective The 80-90 Year Cycle: Why History Periodically Tightens the Screws

Jan 23, 2026

10:06 am

Markets, policymakers, and commentators are understandably absorbed by the immediacy of events. President Trump’s unorthodox policymaking, the visible erosion of trust in Western governments, the rise of political “hard men”, popular unrest in Iran, and the weakening of institutions forged after the Second World War dominate daily analysis. Each development is debated intensely, often framed…

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