Jun 17, 2025 9:42 am
• Israel Iran conflict injects more inflation into the global economy • Oil at risk of further upside wiping out the recent weakness and its benefit to asset prices • Fed is likely to signalits ongoing reluctance to cut rates • Bonds range trading – we remain short duration • UK equities make a new…
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Jun 13, 2025 12:27 pm
• U.S. trade policy has softened, but concrete deal progress is minimal. • Economic strength may weaken as front-loaded trade activity unwinds. • U.S. fiscal deficit concerns grow, intensified by the new tax bill. • Indian corporate earnings likely bottomed, poised for recovery with stronger economic activity. • Indian equities outlook cautiously optimistic, driven by…
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Jun 9, 2025 6:01 am
• Tech dominated equity investing for much of the past decade, but its portfolio monopoly is fading. • A broader opportunity set is emerging, with strong interest in defence, financials, industrials, and parts of healthcare. • Defence spending is rising globally amid security concerns, while pharmaceuticals are rejoining the globalisation narrative. • May saw the…
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Jun 4, 2025 11:02 am
Tariff Flip-Flopping: A Political Risk Repricing The month of May was dominated by trade policy volatility, as President Trump reignited tariff threats, particularly toward the European Union, before softening his stance by extending negotiation deadlines. The uncertainty surrounding tariff implementation created distortions in supply chains and added complexity to corporate planning. Many companies front-loaded exports—particularly…
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