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INSIGHTS THAT MATTER

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Worryingly Positive

Published Sep 6, 2022

• There are few places to hide from falling markets • Equity and bond market returns become more positively correlated • More inflation lurks within a positive US employment report • ECB likely to increase rates by 75bps even as Russia turns off a gas tap • A new prime minister in the UK, amidst…

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The Penny Finally Drops

Published Aug 30, 2022

• Jerome Powell sends a very clear message – rates will be higher for longer • Equity market sell-off could extend • However, longer-dated bonds are well behaved; 10-year looks to hold at around the 3% level • We remain underweight equities and, instead, continue to recommend holding high levels of cash The US financial…

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Bonds to Edge Equities

Published Aug 24, 2022

• The market is pricing a more aggressive Fed than previously thought. • We expect Fed action and signs of a potential sharp slowdown in US growth to be more challenging for equities than bonds. • Watch to see if institutional buying protects the 3.0% level on the US 10 year government bond yield. •…

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August 2022 Newsletter

Published Aug 22, 2022

Quality check of the Sanctum Indian Titans (Titans) Portfolio The result season has concluded, and all our portfolio companies have come out with their earnings. As expected, the raw material price pressure kept eating into the margins of the bulk of companies, despite which, the performance has been quite promising. The commentaries are also comforting…

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